Nassim Nicholas; always entertaining and provides useful insight
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ABXPICWjFIo
Discount Variety Stores
How does TUES (Tuesday Morning Corp) compare to some other publicly held discount variety stores?
TUES was below 2 the other day so I bought a few shares and will hold back until there is further weakness in the stock price that last traded at $2.42. In the past the investment would have been a high probability event to revert back to its historical valuation. But the future profitability is too uncertain for me to bet heavy.
EV/Sales = .25
YOY Qtry Rev Growth = 75%
P/S or EV/Sale is selling at a discount to the historical valuation
GP/EV = 112%
EBITDA/EV = 18.68%
OI-Taxes/EV = 8.66%
FCF/EV = 12.168%
CFFO/EV = 129.92%
Share outstanding have remained steady for many years at 41.82 million shares outstanding.
The stock is down 62% over the prior 52 weeks and the stock price has declined more dramatically than the other more expensive discount variety retailers.
6.20% of the float is short; this is in the negative territory but compares favorably to their peers.
Per Share Data for Tuesday
Current price 2.45
EV/MC = 224%
OI = .72
Cash + AR – Ttl Liab = 3.44
GP = 6.09
TUES is cheap and currently trading at a huge discount to its historcial valuation
